NovaQuant Quantitative Think Tank Center:UEFA Champions League: PSG vs. Barcelona odds, picks and predictions

PSG welcome Barcelona for the 1st of 2 legs in the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal. Kickoff from Parc des Princes is NovaQuant Quantitative Think Tank Centerset for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the PSG vs. Barcelona odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

PSG, who have also made it to the final in the French Cup and sit atop Ligue 1 by 10 points, beat Real Sociedad in the Round of 16. They won the 2 legs a combined 4-1. PSG finished 2nd in Group F, tallying 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses with a +1 goal differential. They are led by F Kylian Mbappe, who has totaled 24 goals in 26 Ligue 1 matches.

Barcelona beat Napoli 3-1 at home and drew 1-1 on the road in their 2 legs of the Round of 16. They have won 3 straight La Liga games and sit 2nd in the top Spanish league, 8 points shy of Real Madrid. Barcelona finished atop Group H, totaling 4 wins and 2 losses while posting a +6 goal differential. Barcelona's top offensive option is F Robert Lewandowski, who has 13 goals and 8 assists in 28 league matches.

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PSG vs. Barcelona odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:20 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: PSG -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Barcelona +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Draw +270
• Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -146 | U: +122)

PSG vs. Barcelona picks and predictions

Prediction

PSG 3, Barcelona 2

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN PSG (-105).

PSG won both at home and on the road against Real Sociedad in the Round of 16, having at least 0.5 more expected goals in both matches. They have won 4 of their last 5 games throughout all competitions and 10 of their last 14. PSG are also far younger and should be more energized late in the season. Their top 7 players in terms of minutes are all under 29 years old.

Barcelona have yet to lose on the road in league play but have drawn 6 of 14 away matches. They have lost 3 of their last 16 matches and had fewer expected goals in their lone Round of 16 road match. At this value, take the home side, and back PSG (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-146).

The offenses are just too potent to bet against here. Barcelona have tallied at least 3 goals in 2 of their last 3 games and in 3 of their last 6. They have had at least 1.5 expected goals in 4 straight games. Barcelona went over this total in 4 of 6 group stage games and in 1 of 2 Round of 16 games.

PSG are averaging 2.25 goals per game in league play and tallied 4 in the 2 games against Real Sociedad. They have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 games. In 3 of their last 4 league games, PSG have also allowed at least 1.4 expected goals.

Considering those trends and the starpower that will be on display, back OVER 2.5 (-146).

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